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2025-10-21 17:19:16 +08:00
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"""
量化交易回测系统 - 15分钟K线包住信号回测最终版
实现:
- prev(curr) -> 信号(在 next_bar.open 开仓)
- 若 (curr, next_bar) 构成反手包住信号,则:
1) 在 next_bar.open 仍然开仓(原方向)
2) 在开仓后的下一根 K 线的 open即 next_bar 后一根的 open以该 open 平仓并反手开新仓
- 其它逻辑:常规反手(下一根开盘平仓并反手开新仓)、续持、单根反色按收盘平仓、尾仓按最后收盘平仓
"""
import datetime
from typing import List, Dict, Optional
from loguru import logger
from models.weex import Weex30 # 替换为你的15分钟K线模型
# ========================= 工具函数 =========================
def is_bullish(c):
return float(c['close']) > float(c['open'])
def is_bearish(c):
return float(c['close']) < float(c['open'])
def check_signal(prev, curr):
"""
包住形态信号判定仅15分钟K线
- 前跌后涨包住 -> 做多 ("long", "bear_bull_engulf")
- 前涨后跌包住 -> 做空 ("short", "bull_bear_engulf")
"""
p_open, p_close = float(prev['open']), float(prev['close'])
c_open, c_close = float(curr['open']), float(curr['close'])
if is_bullish(curr) and is_bearish(prev) and c_open <= p_close and c_close >= p_open:
return "long", "bear_bull_engulf"
if is_bearish(curr) and is_bullish(prev) and c_open >= p_close and c_close <= p_open:
return "short", "bull_bear_engulf"
return None, None
def get_data_by_date(model, date_str: str):
"""按天获取指定表的数据15分钟"""
try:
target_date = datetime.datetime.strptime(date_str, '%Y-%m-%d')
except ValueError:
logger.error("日期格式不正确,请使用 YYYY-MM-DD 格式。")
return []
start_ts = int(target_date.timestamp() * 1000)
end_ts = int((target_date + datetime.timedelta(days=1)).timestamp() * 1000) - 1
query = model.select().where(model.id.between(start_ts, end_ts)).order_by(model.id.asc())
return [{'id': i.id, 'open': i.open, 'high': i.high, 'low': i.low, 'close': i.close} for i in query]
# ========================= 回测逻辑 =========================
def backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates: List[str]):
all_data: List[Dict] = []
for d in dates:
all_data.extend(get_data_by_date(Weex30, d))
if not all_data:
return [], {
'bear_bull_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '涨包跌'},
'bull_bear_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '跌包涨'},
}
all_data.sort(key=lambda x: x['id'])
stats = {
'bear_bull_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '涨包跌'},
'bull_bear_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '跌包涨'},
}
trades: List[Dict] = []
current_position: Optional[Dict] = None # 若有仓,包含 entry_price, direction, signal_key, entry_time
idx = 1 # 从第二根开始(确保 prev 存在)
while idx < len(all_data) - 1:
prev, curr, next_bar = all_data[idx - 1], all_data[idx], all_data[idx + 1]
direction, signal_key = check_signal(prev, curr)
# =========================
# 如果当前持仓且标记为 "开仓后下一根需在开盘平仓并反手"pending_reverse
# 规则:该 pending_reverse 在我们“开仓”时设置(表示 curr 与 next_bar 构成反手包住)
# 执行:在当前循环中用 next_bar.open即开仓后的下一根 open平仓并反手开新仓
# =========================
if current_position and current_position.get('pending_reverse'):
# 确保存在下一根可作为平仓/反手的开盘(当前循环里的 next_bar 是正好那根)
# 因为我们在开仓时已把 pending_reverse 标记在仓里,所以到这里直接使用 next_bar.open
reverse_to = current_position.get('reverse_to') # 反手方向,比如 "short"
reverse_key = current_position.get('reverse_key')
# 平仓价为 next_bar.open开仓后的下一根开盘
exit_price = float(next_bar['open'])
pos_dir = current_position['direction']
pos_sig_key = current_position['signal_key']
diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else (
current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price)
trades.append({
'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000),
'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(next_bar['id'] / 1000),
'signal': current_position['signal'],
'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空',
'entry': current_position['entry_price'],
'exit': exit_price,
'diff': diff
})
stats[pos_sig_key]['total_profit'] += diff
if diff > 0:
stats[pos_sig_key]['wins'] += 1
# 反手以相同价格next_bar.open开新仓reverse_to
current_position = {
'direction': reverse_to,
'signal': stats[reverse_key]['name'],
'signal_key': reverse_key,
'entry_price': exit_price,
'entry_time': next_bar['id']
}
stats[reverse_key]['count'] += 1
logger.debug(
f"开仓后被判定为反手模式 -> 在 {next_bar['id']} 的 open {exit_price:.4f} 平旧仓并反手开 {reverse_to}"
)
# 清除 pending_reverse已经应用
# (注意:我们重新赋值 current_position上面没有再设置 pending_reverse
idx += 1
continue
# =========================
# 空仓:发现包住信号 -> 在 next_bar.open 开仓(并可能设置 pending_reverse
# =========================
if current_position is None and direction:
# 检查 (curr, next_bar) 是否构成反手包住信号
potential_reverse, reverse_key = check_signal(curr, next_bar)
# 开仓:按照 prev,curr 的方向在 next_bar.open 开仓(用户明确希望 "应该是开涨/开空"
entry_price = float(next_bar['open'])
current_position = {
'direction': direction,
'signal': stats[signal_key]['name'],
'signal_key': signal_key,
'entry_price': entry_price,
'entry_time': next_bar['id']
}
stats[signal_key]['count'] += 1
# 如果 curr 与 next_bar 构成反手(即 potential_reverse 非空 且 与原 direction 相反)
# 则我们 **标记 pending_reverse**,在下一根的 open 实际执行平仓并反手开仓
if potential_reverse and potential_reverse != direction:
current_position['pending_reverse'] = True
current_position['reverse_to'] = potential_reverse
current_position['reverse_key'] = reverse_key
logger.debug(
f"{next_bar['id']} 开仓({direction})并标记 pending_reverse -> "
f"{curr['id']}{next_bar['id']} 构成反手 {potential_reverse}"
)
idx += 1
continue
# =========================
# 有仓处理常规反向信号prev,curr -> 下一根 open 平仓并反手开新仓
# =========================
if current_position:
pos_dir = current_position['direction']
pos_sig_key = current_position['signal_key']
# 正常检测到 (prev,curr) 形成反向包住信号 -> 在 next_bar.open 平仓并反手开新仓
if direction and direction != pos_dir:
exit_price = float(next_bar['open'])
diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else (
current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price)
trades.append({
'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000),
'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(next_bar['id'] / 1000),
'signal': current_position['signal'],
'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空',
'entry': current_position['entry_price'],
'exit': exit_price,
'diff': diff
})
stats[pos_sig_key]['total_profit'] += diff
if diff > 0:
stats[pos_sig_key]['wins'] += 1
# 反手开仓(新的方向为 direction
current_position = {
'direction': direction,
'signal': stats[signal_key]['name'],
'signal_key': signal_key,
'entry_price': exit_price,
'entry_time': next_bar['id']
}
stats[signal_key]['count'] += 1
logger.debug(f"检测到常规反向信号({signal_key}) -> 在 {next_bar['id']} open {exit_price} 平仓并反手开 {direction}")
idx += 1
continue
# 同向信号 -> 续持
if direction and direction == pos_dir:
idx += 1
continue
# 单根反色 -> 如果后续不能组成信号,在下一根收盘价平仓(保持你原来的行为)
curr_is_opposite = (pos_dir == 'long' and is_bearish(curr)) or (pos_dir == 'short' and is_bullish(curr))
if curr_is_opposite:
can_peek = idx + 1 < len(all_data)
if can_peek:
lookahead_dir, _ = check_signal(curr, all_data[idx + 1])
if lookahead_dir is not None:
idx += 1
continue
# 否则按 next_bar 的 close 平仓(即 idx+1 的 close
exit_price = float(next_bar['close'])
diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else (
current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price)
trades.append({
'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000),
'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(all_data[idx + 1]['id'] / 1000),
'signal': current_position['signal'],
'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空',
'entry': current_position['entry_price'],
'exit': exit_price,
'diff': diff
})
stats[pos_sig_key]['total_profit'] += diff
if diff > 0:
stats[pos_sig_key]['wins'] += 1
current_position = None
idx += 1
# 尾仓:最后一根收盘价平仓
if current_position:
last = all_data[-1]
exit_price = float(last['close'])
pos_dir = current_position['direction']
diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else (
current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price)
trades.append({
'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000),
'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(last['id'] / 1000),
'signal': current_position['signal'],
'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空',
'entry': current_position['entry_price'],
'exit': exit_price,
'diff': diff
})
stats[current_position['signal_key']]['total_profit'] += diff
if diff > 0:
stats[current_position['signal_key']]['wins'] += 1
return trades, stats
# ========================= 运行示例(计算手续费/净利润等) =========================
if __name__ == '__main__':
dates = [f"2025-10-{i}" for i in range(1, 31)]
trades, stats = backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates)
logger.info("===== 每笔交易详情 =====")
# === 参数设定 ===
contract_size = 10000 # 合约规模1手对应多少基础货币
open_fee_fixed = 5 # 固定开仓手续费
close_fee_rate = 0.0005 # 按成交额比例的平仓手续费率
total_points_profit = 0
total_money_profit = 0
total_fee = 0
for t in trades:
entry = t['entry']
exit = t['exit']
direction = t['direction']
point_diff = (exit - entry) if direction == '做多' else (entry - exit)
money_profit = point_diff / entry * contract_size
fee = open_fee_fixed + (contract_size / entry * exit * close_fee_rate)
net_profit = money_profit - fee
t.update({
'point_diff': point_diff,
'raw_profit': money_profit,
'fee': fee,
'net_profit': net_profit
})
total_points_profit += point_diff
total_money_profit += money_profit
total_fee += fee
logger.info(
f"{t['entry_time']} {direction}({t['signal']}) "
f"入={entry:.2f} 出={exit:.2f} 差价={point_diff:.2f} "
f"原始盈利={money_profit:.2f} 手续费={fee:.2f} 净利润={net_profit:.2f} {t['exit_time']}"
)
total_net_profit = total_money_profit - total_fee
print(f"\n一共交易笔数:{len(trades)}")
print(f"总点差:{total_points_profit:.2f}")
print(f"总原始盈利(未扣费):{total_money_profit:.2f}")
print(f"总手续费:{total_fee:.2f}")
print(f"总净利润:{total_net_profit:.2f}\n")
print("===== 信号统计 =====")
for k, v in stats.items():
name, count, wins, total_p = v['name'], v['count'], v['wins'], v['total_profit']
win_rate = (wins / count * 100) if count > 0 else 0.0
avg_p = (total_p / count) if count > 0 else 0.0
print(f"{name}: 次数={count} 胜率={win_rate:.2f}% 总价差={total_p:.2f} 平均价差={avg_p:.2f}")

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@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ def backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates: List[str]):
}
trades: List[Dict] = []
current_position: Optional[Dict] = None
current_position: Optional[Dict] = None # 开仓信息
idx = 1
while idx < len(all_data) - 1:
@@ -148,7 +148,7 @@ def backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates: List[str]):
current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price)
trades.append({
'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000),
'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(curr['id'] / 1000),
'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(all_data[idx + 1]['id'] / 1000),
'signal': current_position['signal'],
'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空',
'entry': current_position['entry_price'],
@@ -185,14 +185,14 @@ def backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates: List[str]):
# ========================= 运行示例(优化版盈利计算) =========================
if __name__ == '__main__':
dates = []
for i in range(1, 11):
for i1 in range(1, 31):
dates.append(f"2025-{f'0{i}' if len(str(i)) < 2 else i}-{i1}")
# dates = []
# for i in range(1, 11):
# for i1 in range(1, 31):
# dates.append(f"2025-{f'0{i}' if len(str(i)) < 2 else i}-{i1}")
#
# print(dates)
# dates = [f"2025-10-{i}" for i in range(1, 31)]
dates = [f"2025-10-{i}" for i in range(1, 31)]
trades, stats = backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates)
logger.info("===== 每笔交易详情 =====")