""" 15分钟K线包住形态策略(优化版本) - 第二根实体必须比第一根实体大 20% 以上 - 支持续持、反手、单根反色平仓 """ import datetime from dataclasses import dataclass from typing import List, Dict, Optional from loguru import logger from models.weex import Weex30 # 你的数据库模型 # ========================= 工具函数 ========================= def is_bullish(c): """阳线""" return float(c['close']) > float(c['open']) def is_bearish(c): """阴线""" return float(c['close']) < float(c['open']) def calc_body(c): """计算实体大小""" return abs(float(c['close']) - float(c['open'])) # ========================= 包住信号(含20%增强) ========================= def check_signal(prev, curr): """ 包住信号: - 多头:前跌后涨包住 - 空头:前涨后跌包住 增强条件: - 第二根(curr)K线实体大小 >= 第一根(prev) × 1.2 """ p_open, p_close = float(prev['open']), float(prev['close']) c_open, c_close = float(curr['open']), float(curr['close']) prev_body = calc_body(prev) curr_body = calc_body(curr) # ====== 第二根实体必须 ≥ 第一根实体 × 1.2 ====== if curr_body < prev_body + (curr_body * 0.4): return None, None # ----------- 多头包住信号(bear → bull)----------- if (is_bearish(prev) and is_bullish(curr) and c_open <= p_close and c_close >= p_open): return "long", "bear_bull_engulf" # ----------- 空头包住信号(bull → bear)----------- if (is_bullish(prev) and is_bearish(curr) and c_open >= p_close and c_close <= p_open): return "short", "bull_bear_engulf" return None, None # ========================= 数据获取 ========================= def get_data_by_date(model, date_str: str): """按天获取 15 分钟数据""" try: target_date = datetime.datetime.strptime(date_str, '%Y-%m-%d') except ValueError: logger.error("日期格式不正确,需为 YYYY-MM-DD") return [] start_ts = int(target_date.timestamp() * 1000) end_ts = int((target_date + datetime.timedelta(days=1)).timestamp() * 1000) - 1 query = model.select().where(model.id.between(start_ts, end_ts)).order_by(model.id.asc()) return [{'id': i.id, 'open': i.open, 'high': i.high, 'low': i.low, 'close': i.close} for i in query] # ========================= 核心回测逻辑 ========================= def backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates: List[str]): all_data = [] for d in dates: all_data.extend(get_data_by_date(Weex30, d)) if not all_data: return [], { 'bear_bull_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '涨包跌'}, 'bull_bear_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '跌包涨'}, } all_data.sort(key=lambda x: x['id']) stats = { 'bear_bull_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '涨包跌'}, 'bull_bear_engulf': {'count': 0, 'wins': 0, 'total_profit': 0.0, 'name': '跌包涨'}, } trades = [] current_position = None idx = 1 while idx < len(all_data) - 1: prev = all_data[idx - 1] curr = all_data[idx] next_bar = all_data[idx + 1] direction, sig_key = check_signal(prev, curr) # ========== 空仓遇到信号 -> 开仓 ========== if current_position is None and direction: entry_price = float(next_bar['open']) current_position = { 'direction': direction, 'signal': stats[sig_key]['name'], 'signal_key': sig_key, 'entry_price': entry_price, 'entry_time': next_bar['id'] } stats[sig_key]['count'] += 1 idx += 1 continue # ========== 已持仓 ========== if current_position: pos_dir = current_position['direction'] pos_sig_key = current_position['signal_key'] # ======= 反向信号 -> 平仓 + 反手 ======= if direction and direction != pos_dir: exit_price = float(next_bar['open']) diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else \ (current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price) trades.append({ 'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000), 'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(next_bar['id'] / 1000), 'signal': current_position['signal'], 'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空', 'entry': current_position['entry_price'], 'exit': exit_price, 'diff': diff }) stats[pos_sig_key]['total_profit'] += diff if diff > 0: stats[pos_sig_key]['wins'] += 1 # === 反手开新仓 === current_position = { 'direction': direction, 'signal': stats[sig_key]['name'], 'signal_key': sig_key, 'entry_price': exit_price, 'entry_time': next_bar['id'] } stats[sig_key]['count'] += 1 idx += 1 continue # ======= 同向信号 -> 继续持仓 ======= if direction and direction == pos_dir: idx += 1 continue # ======= 单根反色 ======= curr_is_opposite = (pos_dir == 'long' and is_bearish(curr)) or \ (pos_dir == 'short' and is_bullish(curr)) if curr_is_opposite: # 先判断下一根是不是会形成信号 if idx + 1 < len(all_data): look_dir, _ = check_signal(curr, all_data[idx + 1]) if look_dir: # 后面还能形成信号 → 忍耐 idx += 1 continue # 否则按下一根收盘价平仓 exit_price = float(next_bar['close']) diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else \ (current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price) trades.append({ 'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000), 'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(next_bar['id'] / 1000), 'signal': current_position['signal'], 'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空', 'entry': current_position['entry_price'], 'exit': exit_price, 'diff': diff }) stats[pos_sig_key]['total_profit'] += diff if diff > 0: stats[pos_sig_key]['wins'] += 1 current_position = None idx += 1 # ========== 尾仓强制平仓 ========== if current_position: last = all_data[-1] exit_price = float(last['close']) pos_dir = current_position['direction'] diff = (exit_price - current_position['entry_price']) if pos_dir == 'long' else \ (current_position['entry_price'] - exit_price) trades.append({ 'entry_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(current_position['entry_time'] / 1000), 'exit_time': datetime.datetime.fromtimestamp(last['id'] / 1000), 'signal': current_position['signal'], 'direction': '做多' if pos_dir == 'long' else '做空', 'entry': current_position['entry_price'], 'exit': exit_price, 'diff': diff }) stats[current_position['signal_key']]['total_profit'] += diff if diff > 0: stats[current_position['signal_key']]['wins'] += 1 return trades, stats # ================ 主程序(盈利计算) ================ if __name__ == '__main__': dates = [] for i in range(1, 11): for i1 in range(1, 31): dates.append(f"2025-{f'0{i}' if len(str(i)) < 2 else i}-{i1}") print(dates) # dates = [f"2025-09-{i}" for i in range(1, 32)] trades, stats = backtest_15m_trend_optimized(dates) logger.info("===== 每笔交易详情 =====") contract_size = 10000 open_fee_fixed = 5 close_fee_rate = 0.0005 total_points = 0 total_raw_profit = 0 total_fee = 0 for t in trades: entry = t['entry'] exit = t['exit'] direction = t['direction'] # 点差 point_diff = exit - entry if direction == '做多' else entry - exit # 金额盈利 money_profit = point_diff / entry * contract_size # 手续费 fee = open_fee_fixed + (contract_size / entry * exit * close_fee_rate) net_profit = money_profit - fee t.update({ 'point_diff': point_diff, 'raw_profit': money_profit, 'fee': fee, 'net_profit': net_profit }) total_points += point_diff total_raw_profit += money_profit total_fee += fee logger.info( f"{t['entry_time']} {direction}({t['signal']}) " f"入={entry:.2f} 出={exit:.2f} 差价={point_diff:.2f} " f"原始盈利={money_profit:.2f} 手续费={fee:.2f} 净利润={net_profit:.2f} {t['exit_time']}" ) # 汇总 total_net = total_raw_profit - total_fee print(f"\n总交易数:{len(trades)}") print(f"总点差:{total_points:.2f}") print(f"总原始盈利:{total_raw_profit:.2f}") print(f"总手续费:{total_fee:.2f}") print(f"总净利润:{total_net:.2f}\n") print(total_raw_profit - total_fee * 0.1) print("===== 信号统计 =====") for k, v in stats.items(): name = v['name'] count = v['count'] wins = v['wins'] total_p = v['total_profit'] win_rate = wins / count * 100 if count > 0 else 0 avg_p = total_p / count if count > 0 else 0 print(f"{name}: 次数={count} 胜率={win_rate:.2f}% 总价差={total_p:.2f} 平均价差={avg_p:.2f}")